Significant Jump in Immigration Target Numbers for the Next Three Years — to More than 400,000 per Year
On October 30, 2020, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) announced plans to increase Canada’s immigration targets over the next three years. The new targets are as follows:
- 401,000 permanent residents in 2021 (previously 351,000)
- 411,000 permanent residents in 2022 (previously 361,000)
- 421,000 permanent residents in 2023
Such a drastic increase in immigration targets to welcome more than 1.2 million newcomers in three years is part of the Canadian government’s plan to boost economic recovery and job creation, which suffered as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Coronavirus caused a sizeable slump in 2020 immigration numbers — and though files are being processed, the global travel restrictions and border closures led to a dramatic decrease in the number of new permanent residents — 128,430 between January and August. It is evident the target of 341,000 is not going to be reached by the end of this year. Reduced processing capacity also contributed to the slump. Thus, the increased numbers are meant to compensate for the shortfall.
As a part of the economic recovery plan, 60% of the new arrivals will be part of the economic class, the highest increase, followed by the family class and refugees. Increases are being implemented across the board, in Express Entry, PNPs, pilots and in Quebec (which sets its own immigration targets and plans to welcome 47,500 new immigrants in 2021.)
To adapt to a rapidly changing environment, IRCC has adopted a digital transformation approach to increase the capacity of Canada’s immigration system.
Another highlight is further development of innovative and community-driven initiatives to mitigate varied labour market and demographic needs across Canada. As part of this commitment, to spur the growth of French-speaking communities outside of Quebec, additional points for Francophone candidates in Express Entry are now granted.
Over the next two years Canada will accept up to 500 refugees through the new Economic Mobility Pathways Project, an innovative system allowing qualified refugees to apply for permanent residence through existing economic immigration pathways. This comes right after the recently announced pathway to permanent residency for eligible asylum claimants on the front lines of the pandemic providing patient care between March 13 and August 14, 2020 in health care institutions.
“Our plan will help to address some of our most acute labour shortages and to grow our population to keep Canada competitive on the world stage,” announced the Hon. Marco Mendicino, Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship of Canada.
[2021-2023 Immigration Targets – Canada – table]
|Overall Planned Newcomer Admissions (PR)||401,000||411,000||421,000|
|Economic||Federal High Skilled||108,500||110,500||113,750|
|Economic Pilots: Caregivers; Agri-Food Pilot; Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot||8,500||10,000||10,250|
|Atlantic Immigration Pilot||6,000||6,250||6,500|
|Provincial Nominee Program||80,800||81,500||83,000|
|Quebec Skilled Workers and Business||47,500||To be determined||To be determined|
|Family||Spouses, Partners and Children||80,000||81,000||81,000|
|Parents and Grandparents||23,500||23,500||23,500|
|Refugees and Protected Persons||Protected Persons in Canada and Dependents Abroad||23,500||24,500||25,000|
|Resettled Refugees – Government-Assisted||12,500||12,500||12,500|
|Resettled Refugees – Privately Sponsored||22,500||22,500||22,500|
|Resettled Refugees – Blended Visa Office-Referred||1,000||1,000||1,000|
|Total Refugees and Protected Persons||59,500||60,500||61,000|
|Humanitarian and Other||Total Humanitarian and Other||5,500||5,500||6,000|
Family Class immigration numbers will also increase, though not so drastically: to 103,500 in 2021 and 104,500 by 2023, with spouses, partners and children making up 80,000 of those immigrants in 2021, and parents and grandparents increasing to 23,500.
Last but not least, numbers of admitted Refugees and Protected Persons will also grow through the next three years. The plan is to admit 59,500 refugees in 2021, rising to 61,000 by 2023.
How does this change the immediate future of immigration? Will EE points drop?
We predicted that the points will not drop and facts have proven us right:
The number of new ITAs in EE have grown over the past months; however, the points remain high — the last all-program draw, on November 5, had a pass mark of 478, seven points higher than the previous draw. A subsequent FST draw had 436 as the lowest pass mark.
There are several reasons for stagnating profiles of out-of-Canada candidates with less than 470 points:
- Additional points allocation to the Francophone candidates;
- International students getting bonus points for Canadian education credentials graduate in high numbers and enter the job market, earning Canadian experience for extra points;
- Language testing centres reopen all over the world, ushering in a wave of new test takers;
- CERB is being doled out indiscriminately, leading to a short-term labour shortage in many low-wage NOC B occupations, where employers are forced to apply for LMIAs, thus boosting the score of their FN employees;
- Restrictive policies on immigration in the US led to an influx of IT workers through the Global Talent Stream.
Milmantas Immigration specializes in strategic immigration planning, devising an individual tailored strategy leading to permanent residency for every interested candidate. Do not hesitate to contact us to start your first steps towards your immigration goals.